Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5662 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OH 5662 · DCA → ORF

departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 9:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 12:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at ORF more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±3 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORF?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 39% of the time recently

↑ 8pm departures from DCA are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORF

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

ORF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5662 · DCA → ORF

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORF?