Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 3310 · PHX → SAN
departs 3:45 PM MT · arrives 5:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 56%
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX
↓
Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.