Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3310
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 3310 · PHX → SAN
departs 3:45 PM MT · arrives 5:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Thu 10/29 33%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 28%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±6 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.6 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 30% of the time recently
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt
Ceiling 5,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.59 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 12 kt
Ceiling 3,500 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.