Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3489 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 3489 · AUS → SAN

departs 1:53 PM CT · arrives 3:03 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAN?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late

↑ 1pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.01 in

SAN (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3489 · AUS → SAN

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAN?