OO 3810 · MKE → MSP

departs 5:41 PM CT · arrives 7:07 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

16% chance · ±3 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSP?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 5pm departures from MKE are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSP at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MKE

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

Weather at each end

MKE (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

MSP (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling10,433 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3810 · MKE → MSP

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSP?