Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3945 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 3945 · AUS → BNA

departs 3:15 PM CT · arrives 5:37 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 3pm departures from AUS are often late

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BNA

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

AUS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3945 · AUS → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?