OO 4033 · SBN → ATL

departs 5:02 PM ET · arrives 7:01 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at ATL more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ATL?

On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ATL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ This flight has been late 30% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ATL

↓ ATL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

ATL (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4033 · SBN → ATL

Odds over time

How late will it get to ATL?