OO 4053 · MFE → AUS

departs 4:01 PM CT · arrives 5:31 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 7:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to AUS?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ AUS is prone to delays

↓ MFE usually runs smoothly

↓ This flight has been late 15% of the time recently

Weather at each end

MFE (origin) Gusts20 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

AUS (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 4053 · MFE → AUS

Odds over time

How late will it get to AUS?