Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4681
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 4681 · ATW → ORD
departs 2:40 PM CT · arrives 4:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Other factors
↓
ATW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ATW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.