Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4777
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 4777 · CID → ORD
departs 3:40 PM CT · arrives 5:08 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 23h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 30%
Sat 10/31 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CID
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
Weather at each end
CID (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ORD (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.