Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4777
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4777 · CID → ORD
departs 3:40 PM CT · arrives 5:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 47h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/29 25%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 33% of the time recently
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
CID usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CID (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 4,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.18 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.