Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 4957 · SJT → DFW
departs 11:17 AM CT · arrives 12:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 21%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±4 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave SJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SJT that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
SJT usually runs smoothly
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
SJT (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.55 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.