Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 4957
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 4957 · SJT → DFW
departs 11:22 AM CT · arrives 12:38 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 10%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 18%
Mon 11/2 27%
Tue 11/3 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±4 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
21%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave SJT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 367 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at SJT that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
SJT usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DFW
Weather at each end
SJT (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 367 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.92 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,667 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.