Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Thursday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5017 SCHEDULED

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 5017 · CMX → ORD

departs 3:06 PM ET · arrives 3:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CMX that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

CMX (origin) Gusts33 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5017 · CMX → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?