OO 5460 · SBN → ORD

departs 11:28 AM ET · arrives 11:50 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 32% of the time recently

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ SBN usually runs smoothly

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SBN (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.08 in

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5460 · SBN → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?