Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5474
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Today
OO 5474 · ORD → CID
departs 8:31 PM CT · arrives 9:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 2:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 35%
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CID more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CID?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
CID usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CID (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.