Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5474
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30 Tomorrow
OO 5474 · ORD → CID
departs 8:03 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 34%
Mon 11/2 35%
Tue 11/3 30%
Wed 11/4 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at CID more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CID?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CID usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
CID (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9.66667 mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.