OO 5706 · SFO → MFR

departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 5:51 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?

32% chance · ±1 pts +7 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MFR?

On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from SFO are often late

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MFR (destination) Gusts3 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5706 · SFO → MFR

Odds over time

How late will it get to MFR?