Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5706
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 5706 · SFO → MFR
departs 4:22 PM PT · arrives 5:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Fri 10/30
Sun 11/1 45%
Mon 11/2 34%
Tue 11/3 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
SFO is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 28% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MFR (destination)
Gusts 4 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.