OO 5708 · DCA → ORD

departs 2:03 PM ET · arrives 3:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 33% of the time recently

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from DCA are often late

↓ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at DCA that day

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DCA (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility1 mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5708 · DCA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?