Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5789 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 2:01 PM CT (21 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 5789 · ORD → SAT

departs 1:28 PM CT · arrives 4:27 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAT?

On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at SAT that day

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling1,800 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

SAT (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5789 · ORD → SAT

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAT?