Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5951
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
OO 5951 · SFO → MSP
departs 4:47 PM PT · arrives 10:35 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Fri 10/30 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±1 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSP?
On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
4pm departures from SFO are often late
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
OO's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP
Weather at each end
SFO (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MSP (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 6,057 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.