Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5992 DELAYED: NOW PLANNED TO TAKE OFF 3:37 PM CT (27 MIN LATER THAN FIRST FILED)

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

OO 5992 · ORD → DCA

departs 2:57 PM CT · arrives 6:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

50% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 36% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Arrivals into DCA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at DCA that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

DCA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 5992 · ORD → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?