OO 6470 · CLT → TYS

departs 4:27 PM ET · arrives 5:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 22h before departure

Arrive at TYS more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYS?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 26% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Visibility down to 1 mi forecast at CLT that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TYS

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.3 mi Precipnone

TYS (destination) Gusts4 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6470 · CLT → TYS

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYS?