OO 6483 · PHX → OKC

departs 1:16 PM MT · arrives 5:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 25h before departure

Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to OKC?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from PHX are often late

↑ PHX is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHX

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OKC

Weather at each end

PHX (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

OKC (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 6483 · PHX → OKC

Odds over time

How late will it get to OKC?