Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 6483
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
OO 6483 · PHX → OKC
departs 1:35 PM MT · arrives 5:54 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 3:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 10/29 22%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 19%
Sun 11/1 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±5 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at PHX that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at OKC that day
↑
1pm departures from PHX are often late
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.59 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.