Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
PT 5843 · HSV → CLT
departs 12:54 PM CT · arrives 3:26 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Wed 10/28 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 23%
Sat 10/31 21%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
17%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
17%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Leave HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
CLT is busy at that time
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at HSV
Weather at each end
HSV (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.