Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5846
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
PT 5846 · TRI → CLT
departs 6:52 AM ET · arrives 7:50 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 9%
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 15%
Sat 10/31 13%
Sun 11/1 16%
Mon 11/2 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
8%
Arrive 1h+ late
2%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.3d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
TRI (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 1 mi Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.