Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5871
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
PT 5871 · CLT → CAE
departs 10:56 PM ET · arrives 11:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 28%
Sat 10/31 22%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 18%
Tue 11/3 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±3 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at CAE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CAE?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CAE
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
CAE (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.