Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
PIEDMONT · FLIGHT PT 5928
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
PT 5928 · CLT → AVL
departs 9:01 AM ET · arrives 9:53 AM ET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 55h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 19%
Wed 10/28 13%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 19%
Sat 10/31 18%
Sun 11/1 21%
Mon 11/2 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.4d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This route's recent record
↑
Other factors
↑
PT's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
↓
Arrivals into AVL at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 7 mi
Precip none
AVL (destination)
Gusts 3 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 1 mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.