Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2031
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2031 · AKN → ANC
departs 2:19 PM AKT · arrives 3:40 PM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 16%
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
19%
chance · ±6 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
19%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Leave AKN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, cloud base down to 0 ft, visibility down to 1 mi forecast at AKN that day
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
2pm departures from AKN are usually not late
↓
AKN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AKN (origin)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 0 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.17 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.