Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2031
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2031 · AKN → ANC
departs 2:18 PM AKT · arrives 3:39 PM AKT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Thu 10/29 19%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 24%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 20%
Tue 11/3 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave AKN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ANC that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↓
2pm departures from AKN are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
AKN (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5.33333 mi Precip 0.06 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.