Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2039
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2039 · DLG → ANC
departs 1:54 PM AKT · arrives 3:20 PM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±2 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave DLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 0 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi forecast at DLG that day
↑
Gusts to 37 kt, cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at ANC that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DLG usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DLG (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 0 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 0.23 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 37 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.