Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2039
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2039 · DLG → ANC
departs 1:53 PM AKT · arrives 3:19 PM AKT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 18%
Thu 10/29 23%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 25%
Sun 11/1 29%
Mon 11/2 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±7 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ANC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave DLG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at ANC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ANC?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 38 kt, cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at ANC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 633 ft forecast at DLG that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DLG usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into ANC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DLG (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 633 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
ANC (destination)
Gusts 38 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.