Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29
QX 2288 · SNA → GEG
departs 11:32 AM PT · arrives 2:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 27%
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
11am departures from SNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at GEG that day
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
GEG (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.