Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2288
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2288 · SNA → GEG
departs 11:31 AM PT · arrives 2:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/29 21%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 20%
Sun 11/1 22%
Mon 11/2 22%
Tue 11/3 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave SNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed – in 24h
–
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at GEG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to GEG?
On time or early
78%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SNA is prone to delays
↑
This route's recent record
↑
11am departures from SNA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
Weather at each end
SNA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 3,100 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
GEG (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.