Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow
QX 2460 · PDX → MFR
departs 5:33 PM PT · arrives 6:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 42h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29
Fri 10/30 11%
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
6.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
5pm departures from PDX are often late
↓
Visibility down to 0.3 mi forecast at PDX that day
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.01 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 3 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.