Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Oct 23, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
HORIZON · FLIGHT QX 2460
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 30
QX 2460 · PDX → MFR
departs 5:32 PM PT · arrives 6:48 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 2:00 AM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Thu 10/29 12%
Fri 10/30
Sat 10/31 15%
Sun 11/1 17%
Mon 11/2 15%
Tue 11/3 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.9d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at MFR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MFR?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This route's recent record
↑
5pm departures from PDX are often late
↓
PDX usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
MFR (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.