Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SUN COUNTRY · FLIGHT SY 3034 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29

SY 3034 · MCI → CVG

departs 5:11 PM CT · arrives 7:55 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 43h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±1 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This route's recent record

↑ 5pm departures from MCI are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MCI that day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CVG

Weather at each end

MCI (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility7 mi Precipnone

CVG (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

SY 3034 · MCI → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?