tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AVIANCA EL SALVADOR · FLIGHT TA 451 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

TA 451 · MIA → MGA

departs 6:26 AM ET · arrives 7:02 AM CST
Forecast issued Tue 1:00 AM ET · 53h before departure
Arrive at MGA more than 15 minutes late?
10% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 6.3d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MGA?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    2%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    <1%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.