tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

TAP AIR PORTUGAL · FLIGHT TP 204 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

TP 204 · EWR → LIS

departs 11:12 PM ET · arrives 9:43 AM WET
Forecast issued Tue 2:00 AM ET · 69h before departure
Arrive at LIS more than 15 minutes late?
22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 7.0d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to LIS?

  1. On time or early
    77%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    12%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    3%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    1%
  6. Cancelled
    2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.