tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1223 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 1223 · ORD → CVG

departs 9:38 PM CT · arrives 11:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
28% chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.9d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to CVG?

  1. On time or early
    72%
  2. 15–30 min late
    14%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    2%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.