UA 1551 · EWR → GUA

departs 6:46 PM ET · arrives 9:45 PM CST

Your aircraft is N17363 (B38M), coming in as UA 546 from BOS: in the air, landing about 5:01 PM ET, 96 min before departure.

Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at GUA more than 15 minutes late?

33% chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to GUA?

On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
0%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 6pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Arrivals into GUA at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,100 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

GUA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1551 · EWR → GUA

Odds over time

How late will it get to GUA?