UA 1609 · DFW → IAH

departs 5:24 PM CT · arrives 6:46 PM CT

Your aircraft is N16709 (B737), coming in as UA 1388 from IAH: landed 3:38 PM CT.

Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Thursdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

IAH (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1609 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?