UA 1816 · DEN → YEG

departs 7:26 PM MT · arrives 10:20 PM MDT

Your aircraft is N77585 (B39M), coming in as UA 2216 from MSY: landed 7:43 PM MT.

Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at YEG more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to YEG?

On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 7pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Arrivals into YEG at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

YEG (destination) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1816 · DEN → YEG

Odds over time

How late will it get to YEG?