tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1863 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday

UA 1863 · EWR → MCO

departs 7:13 PM ET · arrives 10:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±0 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.8d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MCO?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    10%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    14%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    5%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.