Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1863SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 1863 · EWR → MCO
departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 9:56 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 54h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
27%chance · ±7 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.