Schedule: the flights that flew on Thursday, Oct 22, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2349 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Thursday, October 29 Tomorrow

UA 2349 · ORD → MSN

departs 12:56 PM CT · arrives 1:56 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 8:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSN?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ MSN usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts17 kt Ceiling2,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSN (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.03 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2349 · ORD → MSN

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSN?