UA 250 · DEN → MSY

departs 1:23 PM MT · arrives 5:21 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 16h before departure

Arrive at MSY more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MSY?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ 1pm departures from DEN are often late

↑ Arrivals into MSY at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSY

Weather at each end

DEN (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MSY (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 250 · DEN → MSY

Odds over time

How late will it get to MSY?