UA 2662 · MCO → EWR

departs 7:31 PM ET · arrives 10:11 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 5:00 AM ET · 14h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±4 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ UA's recent on-time record

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 7pm departures from MCO are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at EWR

↓ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at MCO that day

Weather at each end

MCO (origin) Gusts26 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2662 · MCO → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?